The Impact of Political and Economic Stability on Supporting Monetary Stability in Libya during the Period (1990–2024)
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.65417/ljcas.v4i1.282Keywords:
Monetary stability, Exchange rate, Political stability, Economic stability, ARDLAbstract
This study aims to analyze the impact of political and economic stability on monetary stability in Libya during the period (1990–2024), using the exchange rate as the main indicator for measuring monetary stability. The study relied on descriptive and analytical methods and quantitative methods using ARDL and ECM models. The results show a long-term equilibrium relationship between the exchange rate and inflation, GDP, political stability, and foreign reserves, with inflation emerging as the most influential factor in the long term. The short-term results also show that political stability and inflation have a significant impact on exchange rate fluctuations, with an effective correction mechanism that returns the monetary system to its equilibrium path. The study concludes that achieving monetary stability in Libya requires integrated policies that promote political stability and support economic stability, particularly through controlling inflation.
